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Jay
Nakagawa
Director, Competitive Intelligence
Dell
Jay Nakagawa is Director, Competitive Intelligence at Dell Technologies, where he leads the global CI function supporting $110B in revenue and more than 50,000 stakeholders worldwide. His team of 20 delivers market-shaping insights that influence billion-dollar decisions across product, sales and corporate strategy. With experience spanning product management, strategy, sales, development and marketing, Jay brings a cross-functional lens to everything from war-gaming and product ideation to uncovering competitor blind spots and influencing C-suite strategy. A recognized thought leader and keynote speaker in strategic competitive intelligence, he's passionate about helping organizations outsmart, not just outspend, their competition.
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12 November 2026 09:00 - 09:30
The trust gap: Why nobody believes your win/loss findings
Stop trying to make every data point right. Start making the pattern useful. Win/loss analysis promises to explain why organizations win and lose. But the data is imperfect: sellers may blame price, customers may not reveal their real motivations, CRM categories oversimplify decisions, and individual deal reviews can be wrong. Yet across enough deals, imperfect data can reveal powerful patterns. This session explores the “Trust Gap” in win/loss analysis and how to move beyond individual loss reasons to identify patterns that improve future performance. We’ll examine why renewal and expansion losses matter alongside new-logo losses, why battlecards should support—not replace—customer understanding, and how AI can triangulate interviews, transcripts, CRM data and other signals to surface emerging patterns faster. The goal isn’t simply to explain why you lost yesterday. It’s to change the probability of winning tomorrow. Key Takeaways • Separate reported loss reasons from root causes. • Triangulate across customers, sellers, CRM data, interviews, and transcripts. • Include renewal and expansion losses to uncover dissatisfaction and changing needs. • Find strategic patterns without over-trusting individual data points. • Turn insights into action across sales, product, customer success, and competitive strategy. • Use AI to identify patterns and signals—not manufacture certainty.